Introduction
As the Premier League action rolls on, Burnley are set to host West Ham at the historic Turf Moor stadium on the 25th of November, 2023. With Burnley currently struggling at the foot of the table and West Ham hovering in mid-table, this fixture presents a clash of contrasting ambitions. Burnley will be seeking much-needed points to spark a resurgence, while West Ham aim to solidify their position and perhaps push for a place in Europe.
Match Analysis
The statistics paint a rather grim picture for the home side, Burnley. Their recent run of form has seen them losing five consecutive matches, a streak that has seen them plummet to the 20th spot in the league standings. This downward spiral has been characterized by significant defensive woes – conceding three or more goals in four out of their last five league fixtures, suggesting that there are issues to rectify at the back.
West Ham, on the other hand, come into this game with a somewhat mixed bag of results. The Hammers have had a more promising set of outcomes with a league form guide reading WLLLD, indicating a slightly unpredictable pattern yet a comparatively stronger position than their hosts.
Recent Form
A deep dive into the recent games reveals that Burnley have been struggling to find the net consistently, scoring only four goals in their last ten matches. Moreover, the fact that they have failed to score in six out of these ten games demonstrates a clear offensive shortfall.
Conversely, West Ham have been more prolific, with 12 goals in their last ten outings. Despite their somewhat erratic form, the Hammers have shown they possess the firepower to threaten most defences. Notably, West Ham's ability to score in eight out of their last ten games highlights a consistency that could prove pivotal when they face Burnley's leaky defence.
Burnley's recent form: 10% wins, 0% draws, 90% losses.
West Ham's recent form: 40% wins, 10% draws, 50% losses.
Head to Head
- The last five encounters have been fairly even, with both teams securing a win apiece and the remaining three games ending in draws.
- Burnley's lone win in the recent head-to-head came away from home, which implies that they may struggle to replicate such a performance at Turf Moor.
- West Ham have managed to keep a clean sheet in two of the last five matchups against Burnley.
- Goals tend to be sparse, with four of the last five meetings ending with less than three total goals scored.
Burnley wins: 20%
West Ham wins: 20%
Draws: 60%
Prediction
Based on current form, head-to-head records, and standing in the Premier League, the upcoming fixture leans towards West Ham emerging the stronger side. Burnley's dismal run and propensity to concede does not bode well against a West Ham side that, despite their inconsistencies, have proven their ability to find the back of the net.
For a betting tip, considering Burnley's goal-scoring struggles, an "Under 2.5 Goals" bet seems plausible. Additionally, "Both Teams to Score - No" might be a sensible bet, aligning with the patterns observed in both teams' recent matches and their head-to-head history. With regards to the match outcome, an "Asian Handicap" betting in favour of West Ham could offer value, potentially granting a solid return while offsetting the risk of a drawn match.
Full Time Score Prediction: Burnley 0-2 West Ham