As the Süper Lig season winds down, all eyes turn to the Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul where Kasimpasa will face off against Besiktas on May 26, 2024, at 19:00 local time. Both teams have enjoyed contrasting fortunes this season and will be looking to finish on a high. Let’s break down what to expect in this intriguing encounter.

Match analysis

Kasimpasa currently sits 6th in the league standings with a mixed bag of form, registering recent results including a 3-1 victory against Antalyaspor but also a heavy 4-1 loss to Istanbul Basaksehir. Their inconsistency has been a talking point, making them a tough side to predict week in and week out. They have managed to exhibit some resilience at times, particularly in their 4-3 triumph over Galatasaray.

Besiktas, who are 5th in the league, have also faced their own battles but come into this match on a relatively balanced footing. Their recent matches include tight draws and hard-fought victories like the 2-2 draw against Hatayspor and the 3-2 win against Rizespor. They aim to consolidate their position in the upper echelon of the league and maintain their competitive edge for the final fixture.

Recent form

**Kasimpasa:**
- Won 40% of their last 10 games
- Lost 40% of their last 10 games
- Drew 20% of their last 10 games
- Scored in 60% of their last 10 games
- Conceded in 60% of their last 10 games

Kasimpasa’s recent form has seen them secure 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches, scoring a total of 6 goals while conceding 9. Notably, their 3-1 win against Antalyaspor showcased their scoring potential, but defensive frailties have been their Achilles' heel, particularly in significant defeats to Istanbul Basaksehir and Gazişehir Gaziantep.

**Besiktas:**
- Won 30% of their last 10 games
- Lost 20% of their last 10 games
- Drew 50% of their last 10 games
- Scored in 70% of their last 10 games
- Conceded in 70% of their last 10 games

Besiktas come into this match with a moderately better track record over their last five games, including 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their ability to grind out results, as seen in 1-1 draws against Alanyaspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, coupled with their 2-2 draw with Hatayspor, underlines their solid yet unspectacular form. The away team has shown they can be steadfast but sometimes lack the killer instinct needed to secure all three points.

Head to head

- Kasimpasa wins: 40%
- Besiktas wins: 40%
- Draws: 20%

Notable head-to-head results include:
- Besiktas 1-3 Kasimpasa (January 5, 2024)
- Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas (June 3, 2023)
- Besiktas 2-1 Kasimpasa (January 7, 2023)
- Besiktas 0-3 Kasimpasa (April 25, 2022)
- Kasimpasa 1-1 Besiktas (December 3, 2021)

The head-to-head record between these two teams has been evenly matched over recent fixtures. Notable highlights include Kasimpasa’s impressive 3-1 win away at Besiktas earlier this season, while Besiktas had a convincing 5-2 triumph at Kasimpasa in the previous encounter.

Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, this match promises to be a balanced affair. Both teams have shown they are capable of scoring and conceding, which suggests that goals might be on the cards.

Full-time score prediction: Kasimpasa 2-2 Besiktas

**Betting tip:**
1. **Both Teams to Score (BTTS)** - With both sides having found the net in 70% of their recent games, this appears to be a solid bet.
2. **Over 2.5 Goals** - Considering the trend of their last encounters and defensive lapses, an over 2.5 goals market seems plausible.
3. **Asian Handicap +0.5 on Kasimpasa** - With the home advantage and recent head-to-head record, Kasimpasa could prove to be hard to beat.

Given the data, betting on both teams to score combined with a high-goal affair provides good value. Additionally, a cautious approach on Asian Handicap in favor of Kasimpasa could serve as insurance.