As the Serie A season approaches its climax, AC Milan prepares to host Salernitana at the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano on May 25, 2024, with kickoff set for 21:45 local time. This match is crucial for both sides; Milan aims to solidify their position for Champions League qualification, while Salernitana fights to escape the clutches of relegation. Here’s a detailed analysis to help you navigate your betting options for this encounter.

Match analysis

AC Milan sits second in the Serie A standings, currently showcasing a form of LWDDL. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, and they will be looking to bounce back after a couple of disappointing results. Conversely, Salernitana finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 20th place, exhibiting a worrying form of LDLLL as they desperately try to avoid the drop.

Milan has the advantage in terms of squad depth and quality. They have been scoring relatively well, but their defense has shown vulnerabilities. Salernitana, meanwhile, has struggled both offensively and defensively, which is reflected in their current league position.

Recent form

Analyzing the recent ten games for each team:

**AC Milan:**
- Wins: 3 (30%)
- Draws: 3 (30%)
- Losses: 4 (40%)
- Notable results: A solid 2-1 win against Inter and a crucial home win against Fiorentina.
- Goals scored: 16
- Goals conceded: 17

**Salernitana:**
- Wins: 2 (20%)
- Draws: 2 (20%)
- Losses: 6 (60%)
- Notable results: Impressive win against Verona and a commendable draw against Juventus.
- Goals scored: 13
- Goals conceded: 21

While Milan has shown a propensity for high-scoring draws and occasional damaging losses, Salernitana's defensive frailties have been heavily exposed, especially against stronger opponents.

Head to head

- Dec 22, 2023: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
- Mar 13, 2023: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana (Serie A)
- Jan 04, 2023: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
- Feb 19, 2022: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
- Dec 04, 2021: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana (Serie A)

In their last five meetings:
- AC Milan wins: 2 (40%)
- Draws: 3 (60%)
- Salernitana wins: 0 (0%)

The pattern suggests that while Milan usually has the upper hand, Salernitana has shown the ability to secure draws, often in high-scoring games.

Prediction

Based on the recent form, head-to-head stats, and standings, AC Milan has the upper hand going into this match. However, considering Milan's occasional defensive lapses and Salernitana’s unpredictability, this could be an exciting game with several scoring opportunities.

**Full-time score prediction: AC Milan 3-1 Salernitana**

**Betting tips:**
- **Full-time Result:** AC Milan to win
- **Total Goals:** Over 2.5 goals
- **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** Yes
- **First Half Result:** AC Milan to lead
- **Asian Handicap:** AC Milan -1.5

Milan will be keen to secure the three points and should prevail, but given recent trends, Salernitana might still manage to find the net at least once. A few high-scoring draws in recent encounters encourage a bet on over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.