As the curtain falls on the 2023-24 Serie A season, Empoli is set to host AS Roma at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena on May 26, 2024, at 21:45 local time. This fixture is a significant one for both teams, for contrasting reasons. Empoli finds themselves in a battle to avoid relegation, while AS Roma is vying for a top-four finish to secure Champions League football next season.
Match analysis
Empoli has had a challenging season, highlighted by their lowly 18th position in the Serie A standings. Their struggle to find the net consistently has been a significant issue. Over their last ten games, Empoli has scored just five goals, reflecting an evident offensive problem (0.5 goals per game). Defensively, they've also been vulnerable, conceding 13 goals during the same period.
AS Roma, on the other hand, are 6th in the league, showing a mixed bag of results in recent weeks. Despite scoring 15 goals in their last ten matches (1.5 goals per game), they've also exhibited defensive frailties, conceding 12 goals. Roma will be keen to secure a victory to strengthen their position and possibly climb into the Champions League qualifying spots.
Recent form
**Empoli:**
- Draw at Udinese (1-1)
- Loss to Lazio (0-2)
- Draw against Frosinone (0-0)
- Loss at Atalanta (0-2)
- Loss at Napoli (0-1)
- Loss at Lecce (0-1)
- Win against Torino (3-2)
- Loss at Inter (0-2)
- Win at Bologna (1-0)
- Loss at AC Milan (0-1)
**AS Roma:**
- Win against Genoa (1-0)
- Loss at Atalanta (1-2)
- Draw at Bayer Leverkusen (2-2, UEFA Europa League)
- Draw at Juventus (1-1)
- Win against Bayer Leverkusen (2-0, UEFA Europa League)
- Draw at Napoli (2-2)
- Win at Udinese (2-1)
- Win at Bologna (3-1)
- Loss to AC Milan (1-2, UEFA Europa League)
- Win against AC Milan (1-0, UEFA Europa League)
Empoli has been struggling significantly, winning only 10% of their last ten matches, drawing 20%, and losing 70%. They have a difficult time scoring, with only five goals in these matches, and their defense leaves a lot to be desired. Roma, conversely, has won 50% of their last ten games, drawn 30%, and lost 20%. They are scoring regularly but also conceding, showing a balanced but inconsistent form.
Head to head
- Roma has won 80% of the last five encounters.
- Empoli has not won any of the last five matches against Roma.
- One match ended in a draw.
- Roma has scored 15 goals in these encounters, compared to Empoli's 3 goals.
Prediction
Considering Empoli's desperate bid to avoid relegation and Roma's pursuit of Champions League qualification, this match has significant implications for both sides. However, the recent form and head-to-head statistics heavily favor AS Roma. Roma's offensive prowess could exploit Empoli's leaky defense, while the home side's struggles to score could continue against a motivated Roma outfit.
**Full-Time Score Prediction:** Empoli 0-2 AS Roma
**Betting Tips:**
- **Full-Time Result:** AS Roma to Win
- **Goals Market:** Under 2.5 goals (Given Empoli's attacking struggles and Roma's decent defensive record)
- **Both Teams to Score:** No (Empoli's poor scoring record)
- **Asian Handicap:** AS Roma -1 (Roma's strong head-to-head performance)
These betting tips reflect the probability trends and the current form of both teams, suggesting a relatively straightforward outing for the visitors, AS Roma. Expect a comprehensive performance from Roma as they look to consolidate their top-six hopes against a struggling Empoli side.
