In an eagerly anticipated Premier League clash, Newcastle is set to host Brighton at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne on May 11, 2024. Both teams are looking to secure valuable points as the season nears its conclusion, with Newcastle aiming to consolidate their position in the top half of the table, while Brighton hopes to climb further away from the relegation zone.
Match analysis
Analyzing their recent performances, Newcastle has been in formidable form, clinching victories in four out of their last five league matches, including impressive wins against Burnley (4-1) and Sheffield United (5-1). Their only slip came against Crystal Palace, where they faced a 2-0 defeat. With 18 goals scored in these five fixtures, Newcastle's attack seems unstoppable, albeit they've also conceded in three out of these five matches, highlighting a potential vulnerability in defense.
On the other hand, Brighton's record is a mixed bag with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five Premier League outings. Their recent victory over Aston Villa (1-0) might boost their confidence, but heavy defeats to Manchester City (4-0) and Bournemouth (3-0) expose significant weaknesses in both their defensive and offensive lines.
Recent form
- Newcastle's recent form: 80% wins (4 out of 5 games), scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game while conceding 0.8 goals per game.
- Brighton's recent form: 40% wins (2 out of 5 games), managing to score only 0.4 goals per game on average, with a concerning average of 1.8 goals conceded per game.
Head to head
- Newcastle's last victory against Brighton was a convincing 4-1 win at home in May 2023.
- Brighton managed to defeat Newcastle 3-1 in their most recent encounter in September 2023.
- Out of the last five head-to-head meetings, Newcastle has won twice, Brighton twice, with one game ending in a draw.
- Goals tend to flow in these encounters, with both teams scoring in four out of the last five matches.
Prediction
Considering Newcastle's impressive goal-scoring form and their solid performance at home, coupled with Brighton's recent struggles, particularly in defense, the prediction leans towards a comfortable win for Newcastle. Statistically, Newcastle seems to have the upper hand, especially with their attacking prowess.
However, noting Brighton's capacity to cause upsets and their need to secure points, they might not go down without a fight. Taking into account the recent goal-scoring trends and head-to-head results, this match is likely to witness several goals.
- Full-time score prediction: Newcastle 3-1 Brighton.
- Betting tip: Over 2.5 goals for the match and Newcastle to win. Considering the attacking form of Newcastle and their efficiency in front of goal over the recent games, coupled with both teams' tendency to score in head-to-head fixtures, betting on goals could offer value.
